Last Update 2020-05-26

This is the daily updated version of "Understanding Epidemic Data and Statistics: A case study of COVID-19".
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Understanding Epidemic Data and Statistics:

A case study of COVID-19

Abstract

The 2019-Novel-Coronavirus (COVID-19) has affected 188 countries and out of about 5495061 confirmed cases. Understanding the transmission dynamics of the infection in each country which affected on a daily basis and evaluating the effectiveness of control policies is critical for our further actions. To date, the statistics of COVID-19 reported cases show more than 80 percent of infected had a mild case of disease, while around 14 percent of infected experienced a severe one and about 5 percent are categorized as critical disease victims. Today's report (2020-05-25; daily updates in the prepared website) shows the confirmed cases of COVID-19 in US, Brazil, Russia, and United Kingdom are 1662302, 374898 , 353427 and 262547; respectively. Calculating the total Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of Italy (2020-03-04), about 14.33629707797163% of confirmed cases passed away. Compared to South Korea's rate of 2.4093148231079264% (5.950362709128374 times lower than Italy) and China's 5.51735623706312% (61.51477465167217% lower than Italy), the CFR of Italy is too high. There are some effective policies that yield significant changes in the trend of cases. The lockdown policy in China and Italy (the effect observed after 11 days), Shutdown of all non-essential companies in Hubei (the effect observed after 5 days), combined policy in South Korea and reducing working hours in Iran.

Introduction

Human coronaviruses (HCoV) which causes gastrointestinal and respiratory tract infections, were first introduced by the discovery of HCoV-229E and HCoV-OC43, from the nasal cavities of human patients with the common cold, in 1960s (Myint, 199419; Tyrrell & Bynoe, 196627). Other discovered human coronaviruses, which have involved serious respiratory tract infections, include SARS-CoV (2003), HCoV NL63 (2004), HKU1 (2005), MERS-CoV (2012), and the latest one, SARSCoV-2 (2019) resulting in Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) (Lim, Ng, Tam, & Liu, 201615; Syed, 202026). The name refers to the morphology of the virus, when viewed under 2D transmission electron microscopy (large pleomorphic spherical particles with bulbous surface) and stems from the Latin word "corona", meaning "crown"(Goldsmith et al., 20049). Concerning the risk factor, HCoVs vary significantly; from the relatively harmless ones (i.e., common cold) to the most lethal ones (MERS-CoV, with more than 30% mortality rate in the infected) (Fehr & Perlman, 20156). CoVs spread during cold seasons and cause colds with major symptoms, i.e., fever, sore throat, and less commonly pneumonia and bronchitis for the more aggressive strains. To date, there are no vaccines or antiviral drugs capable of preventing or treating HCoV infections (Fehr & Perlman, 2015 6; Forgie & Marrie, 2009 8; Liu et al., 2017 16).
To date, several outbreaks of coronavirus-related diseases have been reported. Severe acute respiratory syndrome- or SARS was the first coronavirus-related outbreak, starting in Guangdong, China, in November 2002, and spread to a total of 29 territories, including Hong Kong, Taiwan, Canada, Singapore, Vietnam, and the United States, within 9 months. It infected a total of 8,098 people and killed 774 worldwide (Smith, 200625). The second coronavirus-related outbreak happened in the Middle East in April 2012, officially named Middle East Respiratory Syndrome or MERS. This virus was first identified in a patient from Saudi Arabia, and later, MERS affected several other countries, including Saudi Arabia, South Korea, the United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Qatar, and Oman. Overall resulting with infections in 24 countries, with over 1,000 cases and over 400 deaths (Organization23). The outbreak of MERS happened again in South Korea, supposedly from a traveler from Middle East. It happened during May and July 2015, and infected a total of 186 individuals, with a death toll of 36 (Organization, 201524). After 3 years in August 2018, the next MERS outbreak happened in countries on the Arabian Peninsula, and resulted in almost 147 infected people and the death of 47. The MERS outbreak had been reported in Saudi Arabia, United Kingdom, and South Korea.
In Dec 2019, a pneumonia outbreak was reported in Wuhan, China, and on Dec 31, it was attributed to a new strain of HCoV, first named as 2019-nCoV by World Health Organization (WHO), and later renamed to SARS-CoV-2 by the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses. Almost 2 weeks later, on Jan. 11, 2020, Chinese state media reported the first fatality from the new discovered virus, that led to infection of dozens more (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/10/world/asia/china-virus-wuhan-death.html). As of Jan 20, multiple countries reported their first cases, including Japan, South Korea and Thailand. The first confirmed case in the United States came the very next day in Washington State. Continuing its spread, Coronavirus presence was confirmed throughout the month of February in the Philippines (Feb 2), France (Feb 14), Iran (Feb 21), and as reports started in Italy on Feb 23; many more Europeans countries followed suit, reporting their first confirmed cases. As of this writing, the coronavirus has affected 188 countries, out of about 5495061 confirmed cases, around 4,000 people have lost their lives. With China, Italy, Iran, and South Korea experiencing the worst cases of outbreaks and showing no sign of alleviation, the 2019-2020 outbreak of COVID-19 is now officially recognized as a pandemic by WHO. An outbreak or epidemic often refers to a sudden increase in the occurrence of an infectious disease, in a particular time and place. Pandemics are near-global epidemic outbreaks, where multiple countries across the world are involved (Green et al., 200211).
The mentioned rapid trend of spread prompts a lot of concerns and questions such as; "How fast is the virus spreading?", "which policies or efforts could control the disease better?", and "what is the main difference of COVID-19 outbreak with pervious epidemics?" Fortunately, the daily case detection changes are available and can be tracked almost in real time on the website provided by authors (http://iuwa.ir/corona/). The aim of this study is to provide the transmission trend from China to other countries and to report the daily confirmed cases, case fatalities and surveillance in every countries from the first day of outbreak until (2020-05-25). Also, to evaluate the effect of each government policies in controlling the outbreak of COVID-19.

Basic Statistics

COVID-19 has currently spread to 188 countries and most national authorities have failed to keep it's rapid spread contained 32. WHO (World Health Organization) reports that it began in Wuhan city, located in Hubei Province of China, first reported on 21 January 20. COVID-19 categorizes in three distinctions concerning it's infected host's severity of disease 10,17. To date, the statistics of its reported cases shows more than 80 percent of infected had a mild case of disease, while around 14 percent of infected experienced a severe one, suffering from breathlessness and pneumonia. And about 5 percent are categorized as critical disease patients, their symptoms include septic shock, respiratory failure, and the failure of more than one organ.
Today's (2020-05-25) reports show that US has the most confirmed, fatal and also recovered cases. The order of confirmed cases after China's, is followed respectively by Brazil, Russia, and United Kingdom; which could be found in the table1.

Table 1

Top 10 total Confirmed, Deaths & Recovered cases

Country/Region Confirmed Deaths Recovered
0 US 1662302 98220 379157
1 Brazil 374898 23473 153833
2 Russia 353427 3633 118798
3 United Kingdom 262547 36996 1161
4 Spain 235400 26834 150376
5 Italy 230158 32877 141981
6 France 183067 28460 65317
7 Germany 180600 8309 161199
8 Turkey 157814 4369 120015
9 India 144950 4172 60706

Confirmed death cases caused by COVID-19 are also observed in 167 different countries, lead in numbers by US, United Kingdom, Italy, and France respectively. About 28.368261743570784% of death cases are located in US, 30.25083797977857 % of confirmed cases are located in US (17.436995272345982% of recovered cases are located in US) were also present table1. Countries reported that all infected cases were recovered and there are no active cases that exist in their databases table2.

Table 2

Countries with no active cases

Country/Region Confirmed Recovered Deaths
0 Eritrea 39 39 0
1 Saint Lucia 18 18 0
2 Dominica 16 16 0
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis 15 15 0
4 Seychelles 11 11 0
5 Papua New Guinea 8 8 0

The overall stats states that there are 5495061 confirmed, 346232 deaths and 2174440 recovered cases.
Figure 1 also shows that the COVID-19 spread exists in all continents.

Figure 1

Transmission of Coronavirus Disease 2019-2020 (COVID-19); Blue nodes represents regions with confirmed COVID-19 cases, and Red nodes represents the regions with COVID 19 causes deaths

Heatmap of Confirmed Cases

Heatmap of Death Cases

Finding Linear Relations

There isn't much known at the moment about COVID-19, so there is a small amount of data about its comprehensive effects and behaviors. In this study, relations are assumed to be linear, when, initially the drawn plot shows obvious linear relations and secondly, the fitted linear regression line had a small enough error to preserve the values given and the linear regression results could be interpreted with relative ease. In addition, by fitting regression lines with higher order, causes overfitting, resulting from the amount of data. There is no evidence yet, about the relation of other conditions to the outbreak and its case fatality rate (CFR), so by using linear regression line, policies and behaviors could be compared. In the prediction cases, by using linear regression, we could compare future trends of countries in earlier stages, with the ones in later stages. By considering above mentioned statements, we will find the best linear relation between arrays of data. In some cases, the linear relation could be observed but it may exhibit linear relation with some date shift of others (i.e. death cases should have linear relation with earlier values of confirmed cases, given the fact that it should take time from confirmation to death.)
CFR could be calculated by the following formula: $$CFR=\dfrac{D_{eath}(T)}{C_{onfirmed}(T-dt)}$$ In which Death and Confirmed functions will calculate the value of death cases and confirmed cases at that date, T being the date we want to inspect the CFR, dt is the mean duration of confirmed to death.

Global Daily Statistics

Figure 2

COVID-19 global epidemic data and statistics of. a) confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, b) normalized confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, c) New confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, and d) Normalized new confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases

Figure 2 shows the global confirmed, deaths and recovered cases' trend for COVID-19 form Jan 22 to 2020-05-25. Death cases are excessively lower than confirmed ones, so we normalized (By dividing the value of Confirmed, Deaths and Recovered cases to their maximum respectively.) it in above Fig. to investigate all three trends of cases. For the confirmed cases, there is a huge increase since Feb 11, the increase tones down from Feb 11 to the next day, Furthermore on Feb 13 another sharp increase is reported. It could be observed in Fig. 2 which shows new cases for each day (and normalized in Fig. 2 ). The most reliable speculation for this jump is that in that day, China (the country with the most confirmed cases) for the first time, reported the clinically diagnosed cases in addition to laboratory-confirmed cases 21, in which 13332 clinically diagnosed cases are added to 1148 laboratory-confirmed ones. Since then, China has kept the same reporting method for the confirmed cases. On 23rd and 24th of Feb, again the decrease of new cases subsided and new cases increased as before. As shown in Fig. 2 the reduction trend is continued (approximately) and the cause of the increase was other countries' growing numbers. So, for more accurate analysis each country will be investigated separately.

China Daily Statistics

Figure 3

COVID-19 epidemic data and statistics of China (main land), Hubei province, and China excluding Hubei a-c) New confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, d-f) Normal data for confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, g-i) Confirmed and Death cases, and j-l) Normal data of confirmed and death cases

Figure 4

Confirmed death and Confirmed recovered Regression MAE data for COVID-19 transmission through a,b) China (main land), c,d) Hubei province, and e,f) China excluding Hubei.

Wuhan city located in Hubei Province is reported to be the origin of COVID-19. On January 23 2020, a lockdown in Wuhan and other cities in Hubei was implemented to control the outbreak of the COVID-19. A total of 12 other cities in Hubei, consisting of Huangshi, Jingzhou, Yichang, Xiaogan, Jingmen, Suizhou, Xianning, Qianjiang, Xiantao, Shiyan, Tianmen, and Enshi, restricted any form of transportation by the end of January 24. These decisions were made to prevent the expansion of COVID-19 any further.

Confirmed Cases

As measured in 2, the incubation period for Wuhan travelers estimated from 2.1 to 11.1 days (The mean incubation period was estimated to be 6.4 days), and also generally the mean incubation period was estimated at 5.2 days which distributed in intervals of 4.1 to 7.0 with 95% confidence 14. By adding these two values, 11.6 days after Jan 24 (4th and 5th of Feb) the effects should be clearly manifesting.
Figure 3 depicted the new daily confirmed cases of China outside of Hubei. The peak of the plot is located on Feb 13 and the daily new cases reduces afterward. This reduction shows that the lockdown plays a serious role in the further reduction of cases in China(excluding Hubei province). Even Though there is no reason to argue the lockdown's positive impact on Hubei itself, the decrease in new confirmed cases (Feb 13 increase's rationale was described in the previous section) shows that emergency circumstances and movement limitations yields positive results to the reduction of confirmed cases from 10th of Feb. Since February 13 2020, the Chinese government has issued shutdown of all non-essential companies, including manufacturing plants, in Hubei Province. 5 days later, on Feb 18, a drop of new cases could be observed (Fig. 3). Finally, the confirmed new cases in China were negligible from 1st of March.

Deaths

The number of deaths is far lower than confirmed cases. So, to investigate the relation of confirmed cases trend with the CFR, the normalized plot will be investigated. By observing normalized Hubei province plot of confirmed deaths and recovered cases in Fig. 3, it could be seen that the CFR trend behaves the same as the confirmation, with a shift (In date). Visually, it could be seen that the value of shift in date varies and increases during this time. In earlier cases, the period of confirmation cases leading to death was shorter. It seems, one reason for this variation is, that confirmed cases consist only of just laboratory cases, and by adding clinically diagnosed cases (which existed before but didn't count beforehand) the time of confirmation to death increases. In other words, the number of confirmed cases gets closer to the real value, and the cases are announced sooner than they did before. Other possible reasons include, the advancements in developing treatments, further delaying fatal cases, and the increase in public awareness, as more people with possible signs of infection come forward to be diagnosed.
To estimate the expected value of confirming a case up to the death stage, assuming a linear relation between the death and confirmed rates, we draw a linear regression line for confirmed and death cases' value, Each time increasing the duration and finding the mean absolute error (MAE) of the regression line. Normally, by increasing the duration, following the reduction in investigated points, the MAE is reduced. However if there is an obvious relation between these two parameters, at the point which they had a correlating relation, MAE will begin to increase (Fig. 4). Wang et al. estimated the time from the the appearance of first symptoms to dyspnea was 5.0 days, to hospital admission 7.0 days, and to ARDS 8.0 days 28. Another study, found that the median days from the first symptom to death as 14 (range 6-41) days 29. As seen in Fig. 4 this value is about eleven in China (excluding Hubei province), Fig. 4 depicted the value 5 for Hubei and Fig. 4 depicted the value is 6 days for China. Assuming the hospital admission is the same day as confirmation (or a day before confirmation) the mean total of 14 days from the first symptom could be approved in29. By finding the mean day from confirmation to death, it is possible to find out the CFR in China, Hubei and China(excluding Hubei province). To find CFR of March 17th for Hubei, confirmed cases on March 17 should be divided by death cases of 5 days before that date (which is March 12) returning 6.622147207749321%. Calculating CFR for China (excluding Hubei) on March 17, follows as confirmed cases on the same day divided by death cases of 11 days before that date (March 6) that equals 0.7923033389926429%; Finally, for China's CFR on March 17, dividing March 17th confirmed cases by death ones of 6 days prior (March 11) yields 5.51735623706312%.

Recovered

Recovered cases are defined active cases-patients recovered after a certain amount of time, with its trend seen in Fig. 3, Fig. 3 and Fig. 3. By comparing recovered cases with confirmed ones, a relation is observed after date shifts. Unlike death cases, recovered cases' shift are longer initially, and reduces over time. The assumed reasoning is that by the passing of time, more medical treatments develop, healthcare providers gain more experience in handling patients' care and as more people are informed, increasing numbers of them check in hospitals at the early stages of their disease, resulting in an even more efficient treatment. However this reduction doesn't break the linear relation between confirmed cases and recovered ones enough to be significant. To find the mean date shift between confirmed cases and recovered ones, we apply a linear regression line to different dates by shifting them back until a first local minimum MAE is found. Hubei province's recovered mean duration value found is 14 days Fig. 4, the same value for China(excluding Hubei province) is 16 days Fig. 4, and finally for China it's 14 days Fig. 4. To find out the recovered cases ratio of Hubei province at March 17th, recovered cases of March 17 are divided by confirmed cases of 14 days prior resulting in 93.37041711920627%. Same calculation applies for China (excluding Hubei) 80.15762925598992%, and finally for China's result 90.85823116295678%.

South Korea Daily Statistics

Figure 5

COVID-19 epidemic data and statistics of South Korea [a-d], and between counties (South Korea, Iran, Italy, and China). For South Korea: a) confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, b) normalized data, c) New data, and d) Normalized new data. To compare between countries: e) Confirmed cases, f) Death cases, g) New Confirmed cases, and i) New Death cases

Confirmed Cases

First confirmed cases of COVID-19 was observed Jan 20th in South Korea, but the outbreak started around Feb 18th (29 days later), its death and recovered cases' trend shown in Fig. 5 after normalizing, in addition the new cases' real-valued and normal form are also found in Fig. 5. New confirmed, death and recovered cases are also depicted in Fig. 5 and normalized in Fig. 5. In Fig. 5 first 16 day of four country's outbreak compared. New cases and its rate also depicted in Fig. 5 and Fig. 5.
Being one of the first countries reporting the outbreak of COVID-19, the first report was on Jan 20. However, no outbreak was observed by Feb 18th, after which there was a significant increase in the number of confirmed cases. Comparison between the growth trend in numbers from South Korea from this date with China's in the early stages is depicted in Fig. 5 as shown the growth rate patterns are approximately the same between the two, showing a very similar behavior in the increasing numbers of confirmed cases. COVID-19 spreads from human to human5, therefore in addition to isolation of people, social avoidance and quarantine policies, faster detection of infected cases should reduce further growth. Each infected individual, by having contact with others directly or by proxy, (in other words by activity) could infect a number of people, so to reduce the odds of transmission of virus, faster detection of infected individuals could play a key role alongside lockdown strategies.
Based on the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC), as of March 8th 2020, a total number of 188,518 cases have been screened and tested for HCoV infection13. More than 10,000 tests had been taken on March 8th, and just in two days, this number has reached to 210,144 (indicating more than 20,000 tests had been taken in 2 days). At this date, South Korea reached to 4099 taken-tests per million people. The magnitude of this number clearly shows the policy of South Korea, an attempt to reduce the duration of detection, through a faster detection strategy30. Furthermore, the fact that the CFR in the old South Korean affected adults12 (patients above 70 years) is still lower than that of Italian HCoV affected patients (average 47 years old), better signifies the role of early detection in controlling the epidemic.

Death

To determine the CFR of confirmed cases, specially in countries in which the COVID-19 is spreading, the knowledge of confirmation to death duration is essential. To demonstrate a wrong approach, if dividing the death cases by confirmed ones on a specific date, yield the wrong answers, for the death cases might have been confirmed some day prior. By assuming that CFR has a linear (or near linear) relation with confirmed rate, duration of confirmation to death could be evaluated by fitting multiple linear regression lines. Minimum value for MAE appears for 3 days shift, meaning death cases were confirmed 3 days before. To discern the CFR of South Korea, total death cases should be divided by total confirmed date of 3 days prior (slope of the regression line also shows the rate).
As alluded to before, there are many types of COVID-19 with respect to acuteness of the disease. The CFR varies depending on the level of infected people already confirmed. If a country manages to diagnose and confirm the affection of a patient, in an earlier stage and begins curating the infected individuals, or tallying those with mild COVID-19, the CFR would be comparatively lower. Such percussion alludes to the apparent lower CFRs in South Korea (2.4093148231079264%) versus other countries with comparably large outbreaks.

Recovered

Due to the small duration of outbreak in South Korea and larger duration of recovery date, it is difficult to accurately estimate the duration in this country. Considering the low CFR and a huge reduction of new cases in South Korea, the only remaining concern is the low rate of recovered cases.

Predictions

Figure 5 displays the confirmed cases of South Korea with the ones in early stages of outbreak in China, with a comparably similar incremental trends (the relation was assumed to be linear relation between the two). to demonstrate this linear relation with a shift in date shift, we will follow the same as before. By fitting a regression line, it could be estimated which date shift yield the lowest error (which is 0 date shift). Owing to the fact that China has experienced the COVID-19 after these fitting trends, it is possible to predict South Korea's next trend, assuming South Korea's policies are as good as China's (Since other conditions like race and climate are comparatively the same ). As mentioned before, China on Feb 13 (22 days after the outbreak), added clinical diagnosis cases to laboratory-confirmed cases, so it seems appropriate to be considered in predictions, after normalization. Following the evaluation of the number of days shift, South Korea's confirmation rate behaves the same as China, resulting in the answer of 0.

Italy Daily Statistics

Figure 6

COVID-19 epidemic data and statistics of Italy: a) confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, b) normalized data, c) new data, and d) Normalized new data. Comparison of COVID-19 statistics between China and Italy: a) Confirmed cases, b) Death cases, c) New confirmed cases, and d) New death cases.

Confirmed Cases

Italy reported its first confirmed cases of COVID-19 infection on Jan 31, later announcing an outbreak around Feb 21st (21 days later). We have displayed (after normalizing) overall analysis in addition to death and recovered cases' trend in Fig.6 depicted the COVID-19's trend in the country. By normalizing the plot, death and recovered cases' trend could be seen in Fig.6.
The plot for new cases also figured in Fig.6 in real-valued and normal form. Comparison between the growth trend in numbers from Italy from this date with China's in the early stages is depicted in Fig. 6 as shown, the growth rate patterns are approximately the same between the two for first 14 days, showing identical behavior in the increasing numbers of confirmed cases. After day 14th, Italy exhibits incremental increase in confirmed cases juxtaposed to China's. March 10 (17th day of Italy's outbreak) being Italy's initial quarantine date, means it is too early to observe this policy's effects. Lombardy, the center of outbreak in Italy was locked down on February 22 and this lockdown strategy seems to have had a positive effect on other municipalities depicted in Fig. 6 and by comparing other municipalities confirmed cases with China's (The mainland) trend shown in Fig.6 , results seem identical.
To analyze the stage of the disease in the Italian HCoV infected patients (i.e., to find out how rapid the infected people have been screened and diagnosed), the results of the COVID-19 tests of Italy and South Korea can be compared. South Korea has been considered as a reference as its HCoV-related CFR is low enough, indicating that both countries are at the same level of HCoV infection. Till March 10th 2020, a total of 60,761 HCoV tests had been taken form Italians- through their screening program, where as in South Korea this number exceeds 210,144 tests, more than 3 folds. However, the number of the daily taken tests in Italy has been increasing, i.e., it was 13000 on March 11th 3.

Death

By comparing new cases of Italy and China which manifested in Fig. 6 (and the overall CFR comparison of the two in Fig.6, it is clear that new death cases of Italy increased next to China's. Calculating the total CFR of Italy (confirmation to death duration calculated as 2 days) about 14.33629707797163% of confirmed cases passed away. Compared to South Korea's rate of 2.4093148231079264% (5.950362709128374 times than Italy) and China's 5.51735623706312% (61.51477465167217% lower than Italy), the CFR of Italy is too high. Ignoring race and climate as conditions (in which there is no clue of their impact), there should exist a strong rationale for this difference. One hypothesis is that some infected individuals are not diagnosed until later more serious stages of the disease. This could also explain the increase in confirmed cases, suggesting those infected, remain in contact with others. By comparing hospital beds per 10000 people, the indicator was 115.32 (At 2014), 42 (At 2012) and 34.22 (At 2012)(Iran 15 2014) for South Korea, China and Italy, respectively 22. Statistically, it is observed that the CFR of COVID-19 has had a direct relation with age (with the average age of death for these 3 countries respectively 28, 38 and 47 years old 31) and It also potentially contributes to the increase in CFRs.

Predictions

Using the home quarantine strategy in Italy should fit the trend of China, with the decrease of new cases, at latest predicted to start on March 15. Comprehensively inspecting signs of the infection in people and faster starting treatment could also help lower CFR and make Italy's COVID-19 CFR more realistic.

Iran

Figure 7

COVID-19 epidemic data and statistics of Iran: a) confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, b) normalized data, c) new data, and d) Normalized New data. Comparison of COVID-19 statistics between China and Iran: e) Confirmed cases, f) new data, g) death cases, and h) new death cases. Comparison between China and Iran in the first 10 days i) Confirmed cases, j) new confirmed cases, k) Death cases, and l) new death cases.

COVID-19 was first reported in Iran starting with 2 dead cases on 19th of Feb in Qom (a city near Tehran, Iran's capital), followed immediately by a huge outbreak, displayed in Fig. 7 detailing its number of confirmed, deaths and recovered cases, and normalized in Fig. 7. Officially, Iran hasn't mandated any city wide lockdowns, but recently some provinces are refusing non-local travelers. Regarding the experiences in China, lockdown strategy will isolate cities to avoid transmitting the growth rate to other cities. However, such policies entail some negative consequences, and therefore they were not implemented in early stages of the outbreak in Iran; in contrast to Italy and South Korea, where there was a gap between outbreak and huge outbreak (21 and 27 days). On the 10th day of outbreak in Iran, total reported confirmed infected individual cases reached 388.
To find confirmed to death cases mean duration, as before, we calculate the minimum MAE, assuming there is a linear relation between these two. Linear regression algorithms shows the date shift should be zero, which means on average, death cases confirmed at the same day. By comparing the death trend with confirmed cases in Fig. 7 and Fig. 7, it is obvious that the trend of CFR was not linear. The reported death vs confirmed are too excessive at early days. It is possible that the shortage of COVID-19 testing kits or/and the lack of clinical diagnosis approach caused such unreliable data. Countries at this stage mostly had about 2 days of confirmation to death period, so following this assumption the COVID-19's CFR in Iran is around 5.580395593202567%.
By observing the 24th of Feb's report, there were 49 active cases (The cases which are not recovered or dead but confirmed as a COVID-19 infected.) reported (at least 14 cases are new) and the value for active cases in the next day was 79 (at least 30 new cases). Two days later, the reported recovered cases was 49. Supposing no one was treated in less than two days, this results in 100% recovery of 14 new cases in two days and also no active cases after two days, marking a great experience which was reported by Iran's officials. Otherwise, some cases were treated in one day. This makes Iran's phenomena intriguing for investigating the details and contributing factors for such cases in order to find a relation between individual's physical conditions and their treatment period. However, errors in report could also explain this information. Using regression line to find the mean recovered duration shows that the recovery duration for Iran should be around 1 day, also seen in Fig. 7, the rate of recovery in Iran is quite significant at 79.37524410284375% (keep in mind, Iran is in early stage of COVID-19's growth).
Figure 7 show Iran's trends of confirmed, newly confirmed, death and new death cases respectively. The trends display no linear relation, Therefore in order to find the linear relation, we fit Iran's with China's first 10 days of confirmed, newly confirmed, death and new death cases respectively depicted in Fig. 7.
The 10th day after the outbreak, was the day in which new cases of china started to decrease. In Contrast, Iran's incremental trend continued to rise until the 20th day of the outbreak, even though a temporal reduction in new cases could be observed starting on 6th of March persisting until 9th of March. Evidently, it is the impact of a nation wide implemented policy reducing working hours 6 days prior (5.4 days is the mean incubation period 2 ). After 4 days, with the arrival of weekends and the following 2 additional holidays. Reports indicate, many people took trips during these dates which is widely assumed as a reason for confirmed cases' rise. Although many companies implemented forms of remote work for their employees (which is estimated to have a positive impact on preventing the growth outbreak), yet many governmental office working hours returned to their pre-outbreak times (naturally assumed to negatively impact the prevention of disease's spread ). There is yet no observable comparison between the effectiveness of either decisions, however the aggregation of effects could be seen from March 15.
An important upcoming event in Iran is Nowruz which is the Iranian New Year, when traditionally, gatherings are very common, which could have very serious consequences on the outbreak of COVID-19 in Iran, prompting immediate and decisive preventive policies from the government.

Japan

Figure 8

COVID-19 epidemic data and statistics of Japan: a) confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, b) normalized data for confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, e) Confirmed cases of different countries and g) new confirmed cases of different countries.

The first confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Japan returned from Wuhan on 6th of Jan. %Since Feb 3, Japan has banned people with travel history to Wuhan and its passport holders, However, the outbreak in Japan sped up on Feb 15. Fig. 8 shows the trend of outbreak after 15th Feb in Japan, while Fig. 8 is normalized to compare Confirmed, Deaths and Recovered cases. The trend shows that the spread of COVID-19 in Japan behaves at a lower rate than China's first dates (see Fig. 8). The number of deaths in Japan is also lower than (10 individuals on March 10) the regression line could be fitted with a high degree of confidence, However it is estimated that it is about 5.019351717464925%. The CFR is very good by adding the information of mean age in Japan, which is 48. By finding out the hospital per bed value of Japan which is 134 (reported at 2012 WHO), the relation of death cases compared with hospital per bed is more clear.
Although Japan managed the early stage exponential rate of COVID-19 (see Fig. 8), a reduction in new cases is not observed (see Fig. 8) so, it is speculative at best to say that Japan is in its final stages of the outbreak.

Spain

Figure 9

COVID-19 epidemic data and statistics of Spain: a) Confirmed, Recovered and Death COVID-19 cases, b) Normalized data for confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, e) Confirmed cases of different countries (Spain, China, South Korea, Italy, and Iran), and f) Death cases of the same countries.

Massive levels of COVID-19 outbreak were reported around Feb 25 for Spain, as seen by its trend of confirmed, death and recovered cases for demonstrated in Fig. 9 and its death and recovered cases in Fig. 9. By comparing the early stages of Spain with Iran, Italy and South Korea in Fig. 9 the trend since March 17 shows Spain has larger growth rate than other ones mentioned here. Mean age of Spain is 45 years old and hospital beds per person in the country is 29.65 for every 10000 (At 2013), compared to Italy the mean age of Spain is slightly smaller while hospital beds per person are relatively higher, consequently it is expected that the CFR should therefore be slightly lower. After calculating the confirmed to death cases duration which is 3 days the CFR of Spain results in 11.427281708854292% for Spain, as expected.

France

Figure 10

COVID-19 epidemic data and statistics of France: a) Confirmed, Recovered and Death COVID-19 cases, b) Normalized data for confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, e) Confirmed cases of different countries (France, China, South Korea, Italy, and Iran), and f) Death cases of the same countries.

France underwent two increments in its rate of confirmed COVID-19 cases. The first one was on Feb 25, therefore chosen as the starting point of the outbreak. Second was from 3rd to 5th of March as shown in Fig. 10. By normalizing data displayed in Fig. 10 and calculating the confirmed to death duration which is 3, CFR for France at March 17 results in 15.636675310975342%. Considering the mean age as a parameter, which in France is lower than Spain (42 and 45 respectively) in addition to beds per person which is 64.77 (At 2013) 22 (Higher than Spain) , CFRs are expected to be lower than Spain. By comparing the growth of confirmed cases with China, Iran, Italy and South Korea depicted in Fig. 10, it's evident that although COVID-19 in France didn't exhibit a fast rate similar to Iran in the first 14 days of the outbreak, it is predicted however that the CFR will increase as much as Italy's.

Germany

Figure 11

COVID-19 epidemic data and statistics of Germany: a) Confirmed, Recovered and Death COVID-19 cases, and e) Confirmed cases of different countries (Germany, China, South Korea, Italy, and Iran)

By observing the Fig. 11 and comparing the trend with China, Italy, Iran and South Korea, which is depicted in Fig. 11, Germany had same COVID-19 trend as all others except Iran, which is not a bad news for Germans, but better ones comes when we want to calculate CFR. Total number of deaths in Germany since 10th March is 24. Which is obvious, that the regression approach could not help to find confirmed to death duration. So, like other countries in this stage, we take it as 3 days. By dividing the deaths of 17th march to confirmed of 14th march the 4.623560180290468% is the CFR, which is too low at this stage.

The USA

Figure 12

COVID-19 epidemic data and statistics of the USA: a) Confirmed, Recovered and Death COVID-19 cases, b) Normalized data for confirmed, recovered and death COVID-19 cases, e) Confirmed cases of different countries (USA, China, South Korea, Italy, and Iran), and f) Death cases of the same countries.

The USA's confirmed, death and recovered COVID-19 cases trend is depicted in Fig. 12, as well as its normal form in Fig. 12. On March 10 both the confirmed and death cases of the USA increased (about 2.9 and 2.5 times respectively) The recovered cases also increased 2.1 times, but due to its low number of recovered (17 on March 17) we considered it trivial. The huge increase in death and confirmed cases lead the regression line algorithm to define confirmed to death duration in 0 days. However, it wouldn't be possible unless most dead cases are confirmed after death. Accepting the 3 days for the USA, like other countries in this stage, the CFR should be about 6.135157098624118%. The high CFR could be alluded to the detection of the infected individuals during the last stages of the illness, or reporting on serious cases with higher CFRs exclusively. Compared to China, Iran, Italy and South Korea, both confirmed and death cases of the USA shows higher orders of incrementation. It is advisable to follow the USA in the coming days for more accurate information gathering, considering the latest increment could be caused by wrong data in the previous dates.

Conclusion

The current outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), epi-centered in Hubei Province of the People's Republic of China, has spread to many other countries. The case detection rate is changing daily and can be tracked in almost real time on the mentioned website.
Today's 2020-05-26 reports show that US has the most confirmed cases and in the terms of confirmed cases, Brazil, Russia, United Kingdom, and Spain are following the US, respectively. Confirmed death cases lead in numbers by US and followed respectively by Brazil, Russia, and United Kingdom. The global statistics showed that The daily statistics showed that lockdown are effective in reduction of incidence of confirmed cases with COVID-19 after about 11 days in China. South Korea, is one of the first countries reporting the cases after China and the growth pattern of confirmed cases is the same as China's in early stages. However, they implement some policies such as in addition to isolation of people, social avoidance and quarantine policies, and faster detection of infected cases which were effective in decrease in new confirmed case and also case fatality. Italy and China have the approximately same growth rate patterns for first 14 days. Although it is too early to observe quarantines policy's effects in Italy, lockdown strategy of Lombardy (the center of outbreak in Italy) seems to have had a positive effect on other municipalities. Unlike to China's growth pattern, Iran's incremental trend continued to rise until the 20th day of the outbreak, Even Though a temporal reduction in new cases could be observed due to a nation wide Implemented policy reducing working hours. The case fatality rate in China was 5.51735623706312% (for Hubei was 6.622147207749321%). The highest and the lowest case fatality rate are belongs to Italy (14.33629707797163 and Germany ( 4.623560180290468%), respectively. Which represent the effectiveness of their policies in control of the COVID-19.
Social distancing was one of the most effective policies to control past epidemic disease by limitation human to human transmission and reducing mortality and morbidity (1,4). However studies suggest that combination of multiple policies can boost the effectiveness. For instance, New York City Department of Health implement different policies during the influenza pandemic in 1918-19 at the same time and they have the lowest rate of mortality on the eastern seaboard of the USA18.
During COVID-19 outbreak, researchers predicted that the mass movement of people at the end of the Lunar New Year holiday, would increase the spreading of disease. Facing this concern, government of China implemented policies which was helpful in control the disease such as, extended the holiday so the holiday would long enough to shelter the incubation period of COVID-19, isolation of confirmed cases in hospitals, quarantining mild or asymptomatic persons in different hospitals, home-based quarantine of people from Hubei province (epicenter of the epidemic), and the most important one was to prevent individuals with asymptomatic infections from spreading the virus. (14,5) Iran is facing this concern as an important upcoming event in Iran is Nowruz which is the Iranian New Year, which recommended prompted policies from government.

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Other Countries

Other Countries' plot considered from the first date of the coronavirus huge outbreak in countries.

1.Afghanistan

CFR for Afghanistan is :2.3763020833333335 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 24 confirmed cases.

2.Albania

CFR for Albania is :3.261977573904179 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 24 confirmed cases.

3.Algeria

CFR for Algeria is :7.691336196009093 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 20 confirmed cases.

4.Andorra

CFR for Andorra is :6.692913385826771 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 39 confirmed cases.

5.Argentina

CFR for Argentina is :4.385388299370833 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 19 confirmed cases.

6.Armenia

CFR for Armenia is :1.4676113360323886 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 1 confirmed cases.

7.Australia

CFR for Australia is :1.4368220876179743 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 15 confirmed cases.

8.Austria

CFR for Austria is :3.899975663178389 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 3 confirmed cases.

9.Azerbaijan

CFR for Azerbaijan is :1.3229571984435797 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 28 confirmed cases.

10.Bahrain

CFR for Bahrain is :0.16638935108153077 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 33 confirmed cases.

11.Bangladesh

CFR for Bangladesh is :1.6586657838106273 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 3 confirmed cases.

12.Belarus

CFR for Belarus is :0.5947001719966184 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 36 confirmed cases.

13.Belgium

CFR for Belgium is :16.478207782555607 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 1 confirmed cases.

14.Bolivia

CFR for Bolivia is :4.678257752285356 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 12 confirmed cases.

15.Bosnia and Herzegovina

CFR for Bosnia and Herzegovina is :6.155143338954469 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 3 confirmed cases.

16.Brazil

CFR for Brazil is :7.093898274350993 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 13 confirmed cases.

17.Bulgaria

CFR for Bulgaria is :5.480607082630692 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 7 confirmed cases.

18.Burkina Faso

CFR for Burkina Faso is :6.388206388206388 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 15 confirmed cases.

19.Cameroon

CFR for Cameroon is :3.75 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 10 confirmed cases.

20.Canada

CFR for Canada is :7.928035267484809 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 11 confirmed cases.

21.Central African Republic

CFR for Central African Republic is :0.20876826722338204 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 19 confirmed cases.

22.Chad

CFR for Chad is :9.983633387888707 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 33 confirmed cases.

23.Chile

CFR for Chile is :1.2302568828103528 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 23 confirmed cases.

24.Colombia

CFR for Colombia is :3.920338717265172 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 9 confirmed cases.

25.Congo (Brazzaville)

CFR for Congo (Brazzaville) is :3.411513859275053 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 22 confirmed cases.

26.Congo (Kinshasa)

CFR for Congo (Kinshasa) is :3.4447300771208225 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 2 confirmed cases.

27.Costa Rica

CFR for Costa Rica is :1.0976948408342482 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 9 confirmed cases.

28.Cote d'Ivoire

CFR for Cote d'Ivoire is :1.2815036309269543 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 14 confirmed cases.

29.Croatia

CFR for Croatia is :4.458314757021846 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 19 confirmed cases.

30.Diamond Princess

CFR for Diamond Princess is :1.8258426966292134 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 19 confirmed cases.

31.Cuba

CFR for Cuba is :4.279749478079332 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 4 confirmed cases.

32.Cyprus

CFR for Cyprus is :1.8338727076591155 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 26 confirmed cases.

33.Czechia

CFR for Czechia is :3.59695903778509 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 31 confirmed cases.

34.Denmark

CFR for Denmark is :4.931242883419462 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 24 confirmed cases.

35.Djibouti

CFR for Djibouti is :0.6167400881057269 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 18 confirmed cases.

36.Dominican Republic

CFR for Dominican Republic is :3.2882979483880193 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 21 confirmed cases.

37.Ecuador

CFR for Ecuador is :8.939935246176175 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 28 confirmed cases.

38.Egypt

CFR for Egypt is :4.960091220068415 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 15 confirmed cases.

39.El Salvador

CFR for El Salvador is :2.028985507246377 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 32 confirmed cases.

40.Equatorial Guinea

CFR for Equatorial Guinea is :1.25 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 18 confirmed cases.

41.Estonia

CFR for Estonia is :3.597122302158273 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 16 confirmed cases.

42.Ethiopia

CFR for Ethiopia is :1.1547344110854503 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 12 confirmed cases.

43.Finland

CFR for Finland is :4.711641425730457 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 15 confirmed cases.

44.Gabon

CFR for Gabon is :0.8101851851851852 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 21 confirmed cases.

45.Georgia

CFR for Georgia is :1.6597510373443984 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 24 confirmed cases.

46.Ghana

CFR for Ghana is :0.4933703361085415 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 7 confirmed cases.

47.Greece

CFR for Greece is :5.984690327070285 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 7 confirmed cases.

48.Guatemala

CFR for Guatemala is :2.1509296390812978 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 34 confirmed cases.

49.Guinea

CFR for Guinea is :0.6521030322791 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 22 confirmed cases.

50.Haiti

CFR for Haiti is :3.3251231527093594 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 16 confirmed cases.

51.Honduras

CFR for Honduras is :5.234397469082542 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 30 confirmed cases.

52.Hungary

CFR for Hungary is :13.349646547036432 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 13 confirmed cases.

53.Iceland

CFR for Iceland is :0.5546311702717692 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 1 confirmed cases.

54.India

CFR for India is :3.3431094443643126 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 5 confirmed cases.

55.Indonesia

CFR for Indonesia is :6.688786305058665 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 34 confirmed cases.

56.Iraq

CFR for Iraq is :4.112008072653885 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 35 confirmed cases.

57.Ireland

CFR for Ireland is :6.553497102750347 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 18 confirmed cases.

58.Israel

CFR for Israel is :1.6836428999400839 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 10 confirmed cases.

59.Jamaica

CFR for Jamaica is :1.6544117647058822 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 36 confirmed cases.

60.Jordan

CFR for Jordan is :1.2857142857142858 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 1 confirmed cases.

61.Kazakhstan

CFR for Kazakhstan is :0.44197499684303576 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 1 confirmed cases.

62.Kenya

CFR for Kenya is :4.478897502153316 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 31 confirmed cases.

63.Kuwait

CFR for Kuwait is :0.843385810672664 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 31 confirmed cases.

64.Kyrgyzstan

CFR for Kyrgyzstan is :1.1851851851851851 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 14 confirmed cases.

65.Latvia

CFR for Latvia is :2.1359223300970873 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 10 confirmed cases.

66.Lebanon

CFR for Lebanon is :2.394106813996317 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 32 confirmed cases.

67.Lithuania

CFR for Lithuania is :3.9276807980049875 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 3 confirmed cases.

68.Luxembourg

CFR for Luxembourg is :2.7631248430042703 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 3 confirmed cases.

69.Madagascar

CFR for Madagascar is :0.44642857142857145 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 26 confirmed cases.

70.Malaysia

CFR for Malaysia is :1.611321283452431 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 29 confirmed cases.

71.Maldives

CFR for Maldives is :0.3139717425431711 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 20 confirmed cases.

72.Malta

CFR for Malta is :1.0 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 38 confirmed cases.

73.Mexico

CFR for Mexico is :12.207526348617398 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 7 confirmed cases.

74.Moldova

CFR for Moldova is :3.8118884182853803 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 23 confirmed cases.

75.Morocco

CFR for Morocco is :2.727768685215494 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 2 confirmed cases.

76.Nepal

CFR for Nepal is :0.7751937984496124 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 31 confirmed cases.

77.Netherlands

CFR for Netherlands is :12.972409510290987 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 1 confirmed cases.

78.New Zealand

CFR for New Zealand is :1.3962765957446808 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 8 confirmed cases.

79.Niger

CFR for Niger is :6.616862326574173 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 27 confirmed cases.

80.Nigeria

CFR for Nigeria is :3.20892439057981 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 8 confirmed cases.

81.North Macedonia

CFR for North Macedonia is :5.882352941176471 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 14 confirmed cases.

82.Norway

CFR for Norway is :2.8204512722035524 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 1 confirmed cases.

83.Oman

CFR for Oman is :0.5445981748601707 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 22 confirmed cases.

84.Pakistan

CFR for Pakistan is :2.3020475795952184 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 6 confirmed cases.

85.Panama

CFR for Panama is :3.0193824875815722 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 6 confirmed cases.

86.Paraguay

CFR for Paraguay is :1.3126491646778042 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 22 confirmed cases.

87.Peru

CFR for Peru is :3.248939103654497 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 11 confirmed cases.

88.Philippines

CFR for Philippines is :6.420533941310583 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 3 confirmed cases.

89.Poland

CFR for Poland is :4.883844997332558 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 5 confirmed cases.

90.Portugal

CFR for Portugal is :4.403973509933775 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 30 confirmed cases.

91.Qatar

CFR for Qatar is :0.06422766236011956 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 8 confirmed cases.

92.Romania

CFR for Romania is :6.803297199638663 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 15 confirmed cases.

93.Russia

CFR for Russia is :1.1128878106160858 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 20 confirmed cases.

94.San Marino

CFR for San Marino is :6.354009077155824 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 36 confirmed cases.

95.Saudi Arabia

CFR for Saudi Arabia is :0.5891994861117263 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 5 confirmed cases.

96.Senegal

CFR for Senegal is :1.2031625988312136 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 31 confirmed cases.

97.Serbia

CFR for Serbia is :2.16799709724238 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 1 confirmed cases.

98.Singapore

CFR for Singapore is :0.0755932426214422 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 28 confirmed cases.

99.Slovakia

CFR for Slovakia is :1.8629407850964737 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 3 confirmed cases.

100.Slovenia

CFR for Slovenia is :7.2888283378746594 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 16 confirmed cases.

101.Somalia

CFR for Somalia is :4.1405269761606025 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 21 confirmed cases.

102.South Africa

CFR for South Africa is :2.3900621118012424 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 3 confirmed cases.

103.Sri Lanka

CFR for Sri Lanka is :0.9363295880149812 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 2 confirmed cases.

104.Sudan

CFR for Sudan is :5.0325636471284785 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 32 confirmed cases.

105.Sweden

CFR for Sweden is :12.28016702734006 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 7 confirmed cases.

106.Switzerland

CFR for Switzerland is :6.229849871364835 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 8 confirmed cases.

107.Taiwan*

CFR for Taiwan* is :1.5873015873015872 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 32 confirmed cases.

108.Tanzania

CFR for Tanzania is :4.12573673870334 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 32 confirmed cases.

109.Thailand

CFR for Thailand is :1.8768521567336187 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 35 confirmed cases.

110.Tunisia

CFR for Tunisia is :4.580152671755725 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 18 confirmed cases.

111.Turkey

CFR for Turkey is :2.827831715210356 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 5 confirmed cases.

112.Ukraine

CFR for Ukraine is :3.092118324399444 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 14 confirmed cases.

113.United Arab Emirates

CFR for United Arab Emirates is :0.8891438405277499 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 29 confirmed cases.

114.United Kingdom

CFR for United Kingdom is :14.478839281870238 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 13 confirmed cases.

115.Uruguay

CFR for Uruguay is :2.9216467463479416 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 13 confirmed cases.

116.Uzbekistan

CFR for Uzbekistan is :0.42932628797886396 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 13 confirmed cases.

117.Venezuela

CFR for Venezuela is :1.0593220338983051 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 13 confirmed cases.

118.Zambia

CFR for Zambia is :0.7608695652173914 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 39 confirmed cases.

119.West Bank and Gaza

CFR for West Bank and Gaza is :0.7092198581560284 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 38 confirmed cases.

120.Guinea-Bissau

CFR for Guinea-Bissau is :0.6283662477558348 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 38 confirmed cases.

121.Mali

CFR for Mali is :6.914344685242518 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 38 confirmed cases.

122.Kosovo

CFR for Kosovo is :2.9880478087649402 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 38 confirmed cases.

123.Sierra Leone

CFR for Sierra Leone is :6.930693069306931 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 10 confirmed cases.

124.South Sudan

CFR for South Sudan is :1.4209591474245116 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 34 confirmed cases.

125.Tajikistan

CFR for Tajikistan is :1.8032144257154057 percent

Outbreak considered to be after 15 confirmed cases.

Table

Comparing CFR value for differend country

Country_sorted_by_deaths Deaths_Until_2020-05-26 Confirmed_Until_2020-05-26 CFR_assuming_0_day_confimed_to_death_duration Confirmed_increased_from_1_day_before CFR_assuming_1_day_confimed_to_death_duration Confirmed_increased_from_2_day_before CFR_assuming_2_day_confimed_to_death_duration Confirmed_increased_from_3_day_before CFR_assuming_3_day_confimed_to_death_duration Confirmed_increased_from_4_day_before CFR_assuming_4_day_confimed_to_death_duration Confirmed_increased_from_5_day_before CFR_assuming_5_day_confimed_to_death_duration Confirmed_increased_from_6_day_before CFR_assuming_6_day_confimed_to_death_duration Confirmed_increased_from_7_day_before CFR_assuming_7_day_confimed_to_death_duration Confirmed_increased_from_8_day_before CFR_assuming_8_day_confimed_to_death_duration Confirmed_increased_from_9_day_before CFR_assuming_9_day_confimed_to_death_duration
0 Belgium 9312.000000 57342.000000 16.239406 1.004379 16.310516 1.009365 16.391480 1.014705 16.478208 1.019685 16.559082 1.024275 16.633621 1.027800 16.690864 1.032092 16.760561 1.037301 16.845152 1.042790 16.934296
1 France 28460.000000 183060.000000 15.546815 1.001959 15.577279 1.005664 15.634871 1.005780 15.636675 1.006134 15.642176 1.007524 15.663785 1.011795 15.730188 1.016751 15.807247 1.018777 15.838741 1.019135 15.844296
2 Italy 32877.000000 230158.000000 14.284535 1.001305 14.303178 1.003624 14.336297 1.006560 14.378242 1.009438 14.419357 1.012289 14.460073 1.015258 14.502490 1.018912 14.554687 1.020951 14.583805 1.024017 14.627603
3 United Kingdom 36993.000000 262500.000000 14.092571 1.006252 14.180681 1.015643 14.313019 1.027409 14.478839 1.040845 14.668179 1.051801 14.822576 1.049618 14.791816 1.059912 14.936890 1.071656 15.102389 1.087344 15.323469
4 Hungary 491.000000 3756.000000 13.072417 1.004010 13.124833 1.011581 13.223808 1.021207 13.349647 1.031585 13.485306 1.043913 13.646470 1.056243 13.807649 1.062518 13.889675 1.070390 13.992590 1.081486 14.137633
5 Netherlands 5849.000000 45647.000000 12.813547 1.004622 12.872769 1.008439 12.921683 1.012398 12.972410 1.016637 13.026726 1.022398 13.100544 1.026952 13.158901 1.029454 13.190952 1.032854 13.234529 1.035784 13.272067
6 Sweden 4029.000000 33843.000000 11.904973 1.011477 12.041603 1.019736 12.139930 1.031516 12.280167 1.051940 12.523312 1.073597 12.781144 1.098834 13.081594 1.114099 13.263324 1.122748 13.366287 1.140378 13.576170
7 Spain 26834.000000 235400.000000 11.399320 0.998422 11.381335 1.000468 11.404650 1.002453 11.427282 1.010140 11.514910 1.012234 11.538776 1.014493 11.564535 1.016381 11.586056 1.020382 11.631657 1.020382 11.631657
8 Mexico 7633.000000 71105.000000 10.734829 1.036214 11.123579 1.079704 11.590440 1.137189 12.207526 1.193698 12.814142 1.256405 13.487295 1.308376 14.045192 1.377123 14.783181 1.444666 15.508239 1.508251 16.190820
9 Chad 61.000000 687.000000 8.879185 1.017778 9.037037 1.060185 9.413580 1.124386 9.983633 1.168367 10.374150 1.215929 10.796460 1.260550 11.192661 1.323699 11.753372 1.365805 12.127237 1.449367 12.869198
10 Ecuador 3203.000000 37355.000000 8.574488 1.016297 8.714224 1.030255 8.833913 1.042620 8.939935 1.058035 9.072112 1.071756 9.189763 1.093819 9.378935 1.112352 9.537848 1.125761 9.652824 1.140158 9.776272
11 Canada 6654.000000 87102.000000 7.639319 1.011767 7.729210 1.023116 7.815914 1.037793 7.928035 1.052910 8.043518 1.067976 8.158611 1.082335 8.268304 1.097085 8.380986 1.112201 8.496457 1.128425 8.620399
12 Slovenia 107.000000 1469.000000 7.283867 1.000681 7.288828 1.000681 7.288828 1.000681 7.288828 1.000681 7.288828 1.000681 7.288828 1.001363 7.293797 1.002046 7.298772 1.002046 7.298772 1.002730 7.303754
13 Algeria 609.000000 8503.000000 7.162178 1.023718 7.332049 1.048071 7.506471 1.073882 7.691336 1.100285 7.880435 1.127420 8.074781 1.152637 8.255388 1.180808 8.457159 1.211426 8.676450 1.246591 8.928310
14 Andorra 51.000000 763.000000 6.684142 1.001312 6.692913 1.001312 6.692913 1.001312 6.692913 1.001312 6.692913 1.001312 6.692913 1.002628 6.701708 1.002628 6.701708 1.002628 6.701708 1.002628 6.701708
15 Romania 1205.000000 18283.000000 6.590822 1.011787 6.668511 1.023856 6.748054 1.032238 6.803297 1.039693 6.852431 1.051533 6.930465 1.063522 7.009482 1.073198 7.073257 1.083694 7.142434 1.094528 7.213841
16 Niger 62.000000 951.000000 6.519453 1.006349 6.560847 1.008484 6.574761 1.014941 6.616862 1.029221 6.709957 1.033696 6.739130 1.040481 6.783370 1.046205 6.820682 1.051991 6.858407 1.069741 6.974128
17 Ireland 1606.000000 24698.000000 6.502551 1.002395 6.518122 1.004719 6.533236 1.007835 6.553497 1.012587 6.584396 1.015752 6.604976 1.018432 6.622407 1.020579 6.636364 1.024303 6.660584 1.027029 6.678310
18 Mali 67.000000 1059.000000 6.326723 1.028155 6.504854 1.043350 6.600985 1.092879 6.914345 1.118268 7.074974 1.137487 7.196563 1.175361 7.436182 1.211670 7.665904 1.231395 7.790698 1.268263 8.023952
19 San Marino 42.000000 666.000000 6.306306 1.001504 6.315789 1.001504 6.315789 1.007564 6.354009 1.012158 6.382979 1.015244 6.402439 1.016794 6.412214 1.018349 6.422018 1.018349 6.422018 1.019908 6.431853
20 Brazil 23473.000000 374898.000000 6.261170 1.032177 6.462635 1.079160 6.756803 1.132999 7.093898 1.209009 7.569811 1.285751 8.050305 1.378884 8.633430 1.468070 9.191833 1.555077 9.736602 1.605483 10.052203
21 Burkina Faso 52.000000 832.000000 6.250000 1.022113 6.388206 1.022113 6.388206 1.022113 6.388206 1.024631 6.403941 1.028430 6.427689 1.045226 6.532663 1.045226 6.532663 1.045226 6.532663 1.063939 6.649616
22 Switzerland 1913.000000 30746.000000 6.221948 1.000325 6.223972 1.000683 6.226200 1.001270 6.229850 1.001694 6.232488 1.002870 6.239807 1.004181 6.247959 1.004870 6.252247 1.005198 6.254291 1.005691 6.257360
23 Indonesia 1391.000000 22750.000000 6.114286 1.021508 6.245790 1.046218 6.396873 1.093960 6.688786 1.128360 6.899117 1.185575 7.248945 1.229996 7.520545 1.263187 7.723487 1.298961 7.942218 1.336270 8.170338
24 Philippines 873.000000 14319.000000 6.096794 1.020235 6.220164 1.039341 6.336648 1.053100 6.420534 1.065878 6.498437 1.083050 6.603131 1.106398 6.745480 1.125885 6.864287 1.144330 6.976744 1.163673 7.094677
25 Bosnia and Herzegovina 146.000000 2406.000000 6.068163 1.002082 6.080800 1.006274 6.106232 1.014334 6.155143 1.023830 6.212766 1.029085 6.244654 1.036622 6.290392 1.044271 6.336806 1.050655 6.375546 1.061315 6.440229
26 Greece 172.000000 2882.000000 5.968078 1.001390 5.976372 1.002086 5.980529 1.002784 5.984690 1.010165 6.028742 1.011228 6.035088 1.014789 6.056338 1.016220 6.064880 1.016937 6.069160 1.022348 6.101454
27 US 98220.000000 1662302.000000 5.908674 1.011597 5.977194 1.024461 6.053203 1.038331 6.135157 1.053993 6.227701 1.071172 6.329208 1.087490 6.425622 1.102097 6.511933 1.118072 6.606325 1.132497 6.691556
28 Sierra Leone 42.000000 735.000000 5.714286 1.039604 5.940594 1.183575 6.763285 1.212871 6.930693 1.256410 7.179487 1.289474 7.368421 1.376404 7.865169 1.416185 8.092486 1.455446 8.316832 1.590909 9.090909
29 North Macedonia 113.000000 1999.000000 5.652826 1.010617 5.712841 1.029882 5.821741 1.040604 5.882353 1.053214 5.953635 1.075888 6.081808 1.087004 6.144644 1.100165 6.219042 1.115513 6.305804 1.134506 6.413167
30 China 4638.000000 84083.000000 5.515978 1.000083 5.516438 1.000214 5.517159 1.000250 5.517356 1.000464 5.518538 1.000464 5.518538 1.000464 5.518538 1.000464 5.518538 1.000571 5.519129 1.000690 5.519786
31 Iran 7451.000000 137724.000000 5.410096 1.014908 5.490748 1.031478 5.580396 1.046122 5.659618 1.064813 5.760741 1.084877 5.869286 1.105302 5.979792 1.124351 6.082846 1.145809 6.198938 1.163288 6.293500
32 Bulgaria 130.000000 2433.000000 5.343198 1.002472 5.356407 1.010382 5.398671 1.025717 5.480607 1.043758 5.577006 1.061518 5.671902 1.077025 5.754759 1.088591 5.816555 1.100407 5.879692 1.118621 5.977011
33 Japan 830.000000 16581.000000 5.005729 1.001873 5.015106 1.002721 5.019352 1.004118 5.026343 1.009559 5.053580 1.013075 5.071180 1.013075 5.071180 1.016927 5.090463 1.018176 5.096715 1.021186 5.111782
34 Denmark 563.000000 11574.000000 4.864351 1.002338 4.875725 1.008540 4.905891 1.013751 4.931243 1.018031 4.952063 1.023885 4.980538 1.030540 5.012911 1.037562 5.047064 1.041389 5.065683 1.047895 5.097329
35 Finland 308.000000 6599.000000 4.667374 1.003040 4.681563 1.004720 4.689403 1.009484 4.711641 1.016325 4.743570 1.024212 4.780382 1.031255 4.813252 1.034326 4.827586 1.039704 4.852686 1.049793 4.899777
36 Poland 1007.000000 21631.000000 4.655356 1.014302 4.721936 1.033443 4.811046 1.049081 4.883845 1.073872 4.999255 1.095851 5.101576 1.122639 5.226282 1.145406 5.332274 1.167413 5.434724 1.184806 5.515693
37 Germany 8309.000000 180600.000000 4.600775 1.001508 4.607715 1.003411 4.616470 1.004952 4.623560 1.008820 4.641355 1.011918 4.655606 1.015874 4.673807 1.022934 4.706289 1.023989 4.711145 1.027584 4.727684
38 Tunisia 48.000000 1051.000000 4.567079 1.000000 4.567079 1.002863 4.580153 1.002863 4.580153 1.004780 4.588910 1.005742 4.593301 1.006705 4.597701 1.007670 4.602109 1.013500 4.628737 1.013500 4.628737
39 Croatia 100.000000 2244.000000 4.456328 1.000000 4.456328 1.000446 4.458315 1.000446 4.458315 1.003129 4.470273 1.004476 4.476276 1.005376 4.480287 1.007181 4.488330 1.008086 4.492363 1.008993 4.496403
40 Egypt 783.000000 17967.000000 4.357990 1.040660 4.535187 1.088052 4.741719 1.138160 4.960091 1.197560 5.218956 1.262703 5.502846 1.332468 5.806882 1.407631 6.134441 1.469213 6.402813 1.533151 6.681457
41 Honduras 182.000000 4189.000000 4.344712 1.060506 4.607595 1.204774 5.234397 1.204774 5.234397 1.307428 5.680400 1.417597 6.159052 1.417597 6.159052 1.497141 6.504646 1.583144 6.878307 1.633138 7.095517
42 Portugal 1330.000000 30788.000000 4.319865 1.005388 4.343141 1.010403 4.364806 1.019470 4.403974 1.029286 4.446376 1.038031 4.484154 1.046072 4.518891 1.054059 4.553391 1.060339 4.580521 1.068657 4.616453
43 Sudan 170.000000 3976.000000 4.275654 1.040838 4.450262 1.095921 4.685777 1.177028 5.032564 1.267049 5.417463 1.457478 6.231672 1.457478 6.231672 1.534543 6.561173 1.737003 7.426824 1.737003 7.426824
44 Cuba 82.000000 1947.000000 4.211608 1.003091 4.224626 1.008286 4.246504 1.016180 4.279749 1.020440 4.297694 1.024737 4.315789 1.031797 4.345522 1.035088 4.359383 1.040064 4.380342 1.045650 4.403867
45 Tanzania 21.000000 509.000000 4.125737 1.000000 4.125737 1.000000 4.125737 1.000000 4.125737 1.000000 4.125737 1.000000 4.125737 1.000000 4.125737 1.000000 4.125737 1.000000 4.125737 1.000000 4.125737
46 Kenya 52.000000 1286.000000 4.043546 1.059308 4.283361 1.078859 4.362416 1.107666 4.478898 1.159603 4.688909 1.249757 5.053450 1.335410 5.399792 1.410088 5.701754 1.449831 5.862458 1.549398 6.265060
47 Bolivia 261.000000 6660.000000 3.918919 1.063388 4.167332 1.125951 4.412511 1.193762 4.678258 1.283979 5.031810 1.353934 5.305956 1.486275 5.824593 1.562280 6.122449 1.629159 6.384540 1.740721 6.821746
48 Somalia 66.000000 1689.000000 3.907638 1.059598 4.140527 1.059598 4.140527 1.059598 4.140527 1.059598 4.140527 1.073744 4.195804 1.124501 4.394141 1.160825 4.536082 1.188600 4.644616 1.244657 4.863670
49 Austria 641.000000 16539.000000 3.875688 1.002181 3.884142 1.003215 3.888148 1.006267 3.899976 1.008230 3.907584 1.011374 3.919770 1.013357 3.927455 1.016596 3.940009 1.018286 3.946558 1.020863 3.956546
50 Lithuania 63.000000 1635.000000 3.853211 1.007394 3.881701 1.011757 3.898515 1.019327 3.927681 1.026365 3.954802 1.036779 3.994927 1.046735 4.033291 1.056884 4.072398 1.060999 4.088254 1.065841 4.106910
51 Argentina 467.000000 12628.000000 3.698131 1.045711 3.867175 1.112305 4.113450 1.185839 4.385388 1.271574 4.702447 1.360336 5.030701 1.433534 5.301396 1.508541 5.578784 1.565196 5.788299 1.617937 5.983344
52 Moldova 261.000000 7147.000000 3.651882 1.007613 3.679684 1.021876 3.731770 1.043815 3.811888 1.066080 3.893198 1.090646 3.982909 1.127287 4.116719 1.164386 4.252199 1.179373 4.306931 1.204415 4.398382
53 Estonia 65.000000 1824.000000 3.563596 1.000549 3.565551 1.001647 3.569467 1.009408 3.597122 1.013333 3.611111 1.016722 3.623188 1.018425 3.629257 1.022422 3.643498 1.028185 3.664036 1.030508 3.672316
54 Czechia 317.000000 9002.000000 3.521440 1.005248 3.539922 1.012598 3.565804 1.021446 3.596959 1.028330 3.621202 1.032221 3.634904 1.041055 3.666011 1.048451 3.692057 1.062183 3.740413 1.064695 3.749261
55 Iraq 163.000000 4632.000000 3.518998 1.036473 3.647348 1.084270 3.815543 1.168517 4.112008 1.194738 4.204282 1.243824 4.377014 1.282747 4.513985 1.303320 4.586382 1.360752 4.788484 1.420859 5.000000
56 Colombia 750.000000 21981.000000 3.412038 1.038064 3.541913 1.089409 3.717104 1.148973 3.920339 1.199182 4.091653 1.242777 4.240403 1.297963 4.428698 1.348941 4.602639 1.411391 4.815719 1.471384 5.020416
57 Cameroon 165.000000 4890.000000 3.374233 1.000000 3.374233 1.111364 3.750000 1.111364 3.750000 1.140392 3.847948 1.309938 4.420038 1.385662 4.675545 1.385662 4.675545 1.574879 5.314010 1.574879 5.314010
58 Congo (Brazzaville) 16.000000 487.000000 3.285421 1.000000 3.285421 1.000000 3.285421 1.038380 3.411514 1.038380 3.411514 1.159524 3.809524 1.159524 3.809524 1.182039 3.883495 1.245524 4.092072 1.245524 4.092072
59 Albania 32.000000 1004.000000 3.187251 1.006012 3.206413 1.015167 3.235592 1.023445 3.261978 1.036120 3.302374 1.041494 3.319502 1.057956 3.371970 1.059072 3.375527 1.061311 3.382664 1.076099 3.429796
60 Dominican Republic 460.000000 15073.000000 3.051815 1.018377 3.107898 1.045139 3.189571 1.077489 3.288298 1.103683 3.368236 1.118424 3.413223 1.139908 3.478787 1.184519 3.614931 1.224054 3.735586 1.244674 3.798514
61 Ukraine 623.000000 21245.000000 2.932455 1.012342 2.968646 1.032313 3.027211 1.054447 3.092118 1.078098 3.161474 1.104784 3.239730 1.125503 3.300487 1.141223 3.346584 1.161500 3.406047 1.189663 3.488633
62 Peru 3629.000000 123979.000000 2.927109 1.033511 3.025200 1.071056 3.135097 1.109948 3.248939 1.139838 3.336429 1.191877 3.488752 1.246233 3.647859 1.305963 3.822696 1.343611 3.932895 1.400244 4.098666
63 Congo (Kinshasa) 67.000000 2297.000000 2.916848 1.072863 3.129379 1.134321 3.308642 1.180977 3.444730 1.251771 3.651226 1.326979 3.870595 1.410068 4.112953 1.493498 4.356307 1.578694 4.604811 1.578694 4.604811
64 Kosovo 30.000000 1038.000000 2.890173 1.005814 2.906977 1.012683 2.926829 1.033865 2.988048 1.034895 2.991027 1.049545 3.033367 1.049545 3.033367 1.086911 3.141361 1.086911 3.141361 1.099576 3.177966
65 Nigeria 233.000000 8068.000000 2.887952 1.029213 2.972318 1.072017 3.095934 1.111142 3.208924 1.149943 3.320981 1.208327 3.489591 1.260428 3.640056 1.306559 3.773279 1.353918 3.910052 1.435332 4.145170
66 India 4172.000000 144950.000000 2.878234 1.046298 3.011492 1.102927 3.174482 1.161514 3.343109 1.226042 3.528835 1.293873 3.724069 1.361352 3.918291 1.444761 4.158361 1.514661 4.359548 1.599042 4.602418
67 Haiti 27.000000 958.000000 2.818372 1.107514 3.121387 1.107514 3.121387 1.179803 3.325123 1.305177 3.678474 1.607383 4.530201 1.797373 5.065666 1.797373 5.065666 2.100877 5.921053 2.675978 7.541899
68 Norway 235.000000 8364.000000 2.809660 1.001437 2.813697 1.002157 2.815720 1.003841 2.820451 1.006619 2.828259 1.010023 2.837822 1.011733 2.842627 1.012959 2.846070 1.013941 2.848830 1.015418 2.852980
69 Uruguay 22.000000 787.000000 2.795426 1.023407 2.860858 1.030105 2.879581 1.045153 2.921647 1.050734 2.937250 1.054960 2.949062 1.066396 2.981030 1.067843 2.985075 1.072207 2.997275 1.073670 3.001364
70 Panama 310.000000 11183.000000 2.772065 1.023522 2.837269 1.057294 2.930888 1.089218 3.019382 1.105476 3.064452 1.120878 3.107146 1.133374 3.141786 1.149805 3.187333 1.164168 3.227150 1.183511 3.280770
71 Turkey 4369.000000 157814.000000 2.768449 1.006294 2.785872 1.013669 2.806290 1.021450 2.827832 1.027783 2.845364 1.034256 2.863285 1.040886 2.881641 1.047950 2.901197 1.056071 2.923679 1.065828 2.950691
72 Luxembourg 110.000000 3993.000000 2.754821 1.000251 2.755511 1.000752 2.756892 1.003014 2.763125 1.003266 2.763819 1.005540 2.770083 1.008843 2.779181 1.011654 2.786927 1.012167 2.788340 1.016031 2.798982
73 Morocco 200.000000 7532.000000 2.655337 1.013319 2.690704 1.017013 2.700513 1.027278 2.727769 1.044515 2.773540 1.055937 2.803869 1.072476 2.847786 1.083429 2.876870 1.096361 2.911208 1.117342 2.966919
74 Korea, South 269.000000 11225.000000 2.396437 1.001696 2.400500 1.003128 2.403932 1.005374 2.409315 1.007449 2.414288 1.009261 2.418630 1.010351 2.421242 1.013270 2.428236 1.014460 2.431089 1.015837 2.434389
75 Lebanon 26.000000 1119.000000 2.323503 1.004488 2.333932 1.020055 2.370100 1.030387 2.394107 1.092773 2.539062 1.164412 2.705515 1.172956 2.725367 1.201933 2.792696 1.228321 2.854007 1.240576 2.882483
76 Serbia 239.000000 11193.000000 2.135263 1.003047 2.141769 1.009106 2.154706 1.015330 2.167997 1.025094 2.188845 1.033232 2.206222 1.042858 2.226777 1.046173 2.233854 1.054948 2.252592 1.066406 2.277058
77 Latvia 22.000000 1049.000000 2.097235 1.001910 2.101242 1.002868 2.103250 1.018447 2.135922 1.023415 2.146341 1.032480 2.165354 1.036561 2.173913 1.039643 2.180377 1.040675 2.182540 1.052156 2.206620
78 Pakistan 1167.000000 56349.000000 2.071022 1.032014 2.137323 1.074604 2.225528 1.111552 2.302048 1.171716 2.426649 1.227701 2.542594 1.281649 2.654324 1.337662 2.770326 1.403427 2.906528 1.452331 3.007809
79 South Africa 481.000000 23615.000000 2.036841 1.045698 2.129921 1.106452 2.253666 1.173416 2.390062 1.233997 2.513456 1.311726 2.671777 1.372965 2.796512 1.437047 2.927037 1.522075 3.100226 1.645071 3.350749
80 Afghanistan 219.000000 11173.000000 1.960082 1.055850 2.069552 1.117524 2.190438 1.212348 2.376302 1.287805 2.524205 1.371762 2.688766 1.459950 2.861623 1.579893 3.096719 1.676621 3.286315 1.745236 3.420806
81 Thailand 57.000000 3042.000000 1.873767 1.000658 1.875000 1.000658 1.875000 1.001646 1.876852 1.001646 1.876852 1.002637 1.878708 1.002967 1.879327 1.003629 1.880567 1.004624 1.882431 1.005620 1.884298
82 Slovakia 28.000000 1511.000000 1.853077 1.001325 1.855533 1.004654 1.861702 1.005323 1.862941 1.005992 1.864181 1.010027 1.871658 1.010702 1.872910 1.010702 1.872910 1.011379 1.874163 1.012056 1.875419
83 Diamond Princess 13.000000 712.000000 1.825843 1.000000 1.825843 1.000000 1.825843 1.000000 1.825843 1.000000 1.825843 1.000000 1.825843 1.000000 1.825843 1.000000 1.825843 1.000000 1.825843 1.000000 1.825843
84 Cyprus 17.000000 937.000000 1.814301 1.002139 1.818182 1.010787 1.833873 1.010787 1.833873 1.015168 1.841820 1.016269 1.843818 1.020697 1.851852 1.021810 1.853871 1.022926 1.855895 1.025164 1.859956
85 El Salvador 35.000000 1983.000000 1.765003 1.035509 1.827676 1.090159 1.924134 1.149565 2.028986 1.209146 2.134146 1.262253 2.227880 1.323765 2.336449 1.403397 2.476999 1.482063 2.615845 1.567589 2.766798
86 Israel 281.000000 16734.000000 1.679216 1.001017 1.680924 1.001316 1.681427 1.002636 1.683643 1.003057 1.684349 1.004020 1.685966 1.004502 1.686776 1.005468 1.688398 1.007041 1.691039 1.007587 1.691956
87 Georgia 12.000000 731.000000 1.641587 1.001370 1.643836 1.004121 1.648352 1.011065 1.659751 1.013870 1.664355 1.025245 1.683029 1.033946 1.697313 1.042796 1.711840 1.051799 1.726619 1.070278 1.756955
88 Jamaica 9.000000 556.000000 1.618705 1.007246 1.630435 1.010909 1.636364 1.022059 1.654412 1.041199 1.685393 1.051040 1.701323 1.069231 1.730769 1.069231 1.730769 1.069231 1.730769 1.075435 1.740812
89 Taiwan* 7.000000 441.000000 1.587302 1.000000 1.587302 1.000000 1.587302 1.000000 1.587302 1.002273 1.590909 1.002273 1.590909 1.002273 1.590909 1.002273 1.590909 1.002273 1.590909 1.002273 1.590909
90 Guatemala 59.000000 3760.000000 1.569149 1.098131 1.723131 1.231172 1.931893 1.370762 2.150930 1.496815 2.348726 1.660044 2.604857 1.762775 2.766057 1.966527 3.085774 2.132728 3.346568 2.132728 3.346568
91 Malaysia 115.000000 7417.000000 1.550492 1.023741 1.587302 1.032289 1.600557 1.039232 1.611321 1.050715 1.629126 1.058211 1.640748 1.062912 1.648037 1.068578 1.656822 1.075863 1.668117 1.079307 1.673458
92 Tajikistan 46.000000 3100.000000 1.483871 1.058382 1.570502 1.132213 1.680058 1.215210 1.803214 1.319149 1.957447 1.448598 2.149533 1.601240 2.376033 1.792944 2.660497 2.034121 3.018373 2.344932 3.479576
93 Australia 102.000000 7126.000000 1.431378 1.001687 1.433793 1.001687 1.433793 1.003803 1.436822 1.004369 1.437632 1.006355 1.440475 1.007636 1.442308 1.008206 1.443124 1.010207 1.445988 1.011641 1.448041
94 Bangladesh 501.000000 35585.000000 1.407897 1.058762 1.490628 1.109327 1.561818 1.178116 1.658666 1.248115 1.757217 1.330877 1.873738 1.416544 1.994347 1.490783 2.098869 1.598033 2.249865 1.694927 2.386282
95 New Zealand 21.000000 1504.000000 1.396277 1.000000 1.396277 1.000000 1.396277 1.000000 1.396277 1.000000 1.396277 1.000665 1.397206 1.000665 1.397206 1.003336 1.400934 1.003336 1.400934 1.003336 1.400934
96 Paraguay 11.000000 865.000000 1.271676 1.003480 1.276102 1.017647 1.294118 1.032220 1.312649 1.034689 1.315789 1.038415 1.320528 1.043426 1.326900 1.097716 1.395939 1.100509 1.399491 1.111825 1.413882
97 Jordan 9.000000 711.000000 1.265823 1.004237 1.271186 1.009943 1.278409 1.015714 1.285714 1.039474 1.315789 1.058036 1.339286 1.095532 1.386749 1.130366 1.430843 1.159869 1.468189 1.171334 1.482702
98 Cote d'Ivoire 30.000000 2423.000000 1.238135 1.019781 1.262626 1.024091 1.267963 1.035028 1.281504 1.053020 1.303781 1.086060 1.344688 1.125406 1.393405 1.143464 1.415762 1.148886 1.422475 1.175643 1.455604
99 Armenia 87.000000 7113.000000 1.223113 1.067858 1.306110 1.128689 1.380514 1.199899 1.467611 1.268819 1.551909 1.349459 1.650541 1.411030 1.725848 1.474808 1.803857 1.590564 1.945438 1.660752 2.031286
100 Azerbaijan 51.000000 4271.000000 1.194100 1.036148 1.237263 1.072577 1.280763 1.107912 1.322957 1.139237 1.360363 1.176260 1.404572 1.214042 1.449687 1.260998 1.505757 1.304520 1.557728 1.361058 1.625239
101 Equatorial Guinea 12.000000 1043.000000 1.150527 1.086458 1.250000 1.086458 1.250000 1.086458 1.250000 1.155039 1.328904 1.171910 1.348315 1.264242 1.454545 1.450626 1.668985 1.755892 2.020202 1.755892 2.020202
102 Senegal 35.000000 3130.000000 1.118211 1.027240 1.148671 1.051747 1.176075 1.075971 1.203163 1.113087 1.244666 1.153279 1.289609 1.196026 1.337409 1.230346 1.375786 1.262097 1.411290 1.288596 1.440922
103 Kyrgyzstan 16.000000 1433.000000 1.116539 1.021383 1.140413 1.049817 1.172161 1.061481 1.185185 1.091394 1.218583 1.128346 1.259843 1.152856 1.287208 1.178454 1.315789 1.259227 1.405975 1.282901 1.432408
104 Costa Rica 10.000000 951.000000 1.051525 1.022581 1.075269 1.035948 1.089325 1.043908 1.097695 1.053156 1.107420 1.060201 1.114827 1.078231 1.133787 1.098152 1.154734 1.101970 1.158749 1.114889 1.172333
105 Chile 761.000000 73997.000000 1.028420 1.070837 1.101271 1.131574 1.163733 1.196259 1.230257 1.285094 1.321617 1.380103 1.419326 1.492507 1.534924 1.606570 1.652229 1.690162 1.738197 1.786159 1.836922
106 Russia 3633.000000 353427.000000 1.027935 1.025970 1.054630 1.052236 1.081630 1.082644 1.112888 1.112967 1.144057 1.144870 1.176852 1.178322 1.211238 1.215871 1.249837 1.254390 1.289432 1.299159 1.335451
107 South Sudan 8.000000 806.000000 0.992556 1.230534 1.221374 1.230534 1.221374 1.431616 1.420959 1.675676 1.663202 2.779310 2.758621 2.779310 2.758621 2.779310 2.758621 2.779310 2.758621 3.415254 3.389831
108 Malta 6.000000 611.000000 0.981997 1.001639 0.983607 1.003284 0.985222 1.018333 1.000000 1.020033 1.001669 1.046233 1.027397 1.073814 1.054482 1.094982 1.075269 1.104882 1.084991 1.119048 1.098901
109 Venezuela 10.000000 1177.000000 0.849618 1.049955 0.892061 1.165347 0.990099 1.246822 1.059322 1.334467 1.133787 1.428398 1.213592 1.571429 1.335113 1.904531 1.618123 2.175601 1.848429 2.335317 1.984127
110 Sri Lanka 10.000000 1182.000000 0.846024 1.035933 0.876424 1.085399 0.918274 1.106742 0.936330 1.120379 0.947867 1.149805 0.972763 1.150925 0.973710 1.191532 1.008065 1.204893 1.019368 1.231250 1.041667
111 United Arab Emirates 248.000000 30307.000000 0.818293 1.027879 0.841106 1.055846 0.863991 1.086584 0.889144 1.126738 0.922002 1.165475 0.953699 1.209233 0.989506 1.252873 1.025217 1.297500 1.061735 1.339418 1.096036
112 Ethiopia 5.000000 655.000000 0.763359 1.125430 0.859107 1.325911 1.012146 1.512702 1.154734 1.641604 1.253133 1.683805 1.285347 1.794521 1.369863 1.860795 1.420455 2.066246 1.577287 2.140523 1.633987
113 Zambia 7.000000 920.000000 0.760870 1.000000 0.760870 1.000000 0.760870 1.000000 0.760870 1.062356 0.808314 1.105769 0.841346 1.191710 0.906736 1.208936 0.919842 1.221780 0.929615 1.354934 1.030928
114 Kuwait 165.000000 21967.000000 0.751127 1.031218 0.774575 1.073446 0.806294 1.122828 0.843386 1.180450 0.886668 1.250398 0.939208 1.310367 0.984252 1.399975 1.051558 1.479259 1.111111 1.591581 1.195479
115 West Bank and Gaza 3.000000 423.000000 0.709220 1.000000 0.709220 1.000000 0.709220 1.000000 0.709220 1.000000 0.709220 1.062814 0.753769 1.081841 0.767263 1.090206 0.773196 1.110236 0.787402 1.125000 0.797872
116 Gabon 14.000000 2135.000000 0.655738 1.103930 0.723888 1.103930 0.723888 1.235532 0.810185 1.362476 0.893427 1.362476 0.893427 1.421438 0.932091 1.490922 0.977654 1.617424 1.060606 1.617424 1.060606
117 Guinea 20.000000 3275.000000 0.610687 1.000000 0.610687 1.031171 0.629723 1.067819 0.652103 1.067819 0.652103 1.143905 0.698568 1.143905 0.698568 1.171316 0.715308 1.232129 0.752445 1.232129 0.752445
118 Guinea-Bissau 7.000000 1178.000000 0.594228 1.057451 0.628366 1.057451 0.628366 1.057451 0.628366 1.062218 0.631199 1.081726 0.642792 1.134875 0.674374 1.141473 0.678295 1.189899 0.707071 1.215686 0.722394
119 Nepal 4.000000 682.000000 0.586510 1.131012 0.663350 1.167808 0.684932 1.321705 0.775194 1.492341 0.875274 1.597190 0.936768 1.696517 0.995025 1.818667 1.066667 2.311864 1.355932 2.343643 1.374570
120 Djibouti 14.000000 2468.000000 0.567261 1.087225 0.616740 1.087225 0.616740 1.087225 0.616740 1.205667 0.683928 1.350109 0.765864 1.525340 0.865266 1.625823 0.922266 1.761599 0.999286 1.854245 1.051841
121 Iceland 10.000000 1804.000000 0.554324 1.000000 0.554324 1.000000 0.554324 1.000555 0.554631 1.000555 0.554631 1.000555 0.554631 1.001110 0.554939 1.001110 0.554939 1.001110 0.554939 1.001110 0.554939
122 Belarus 204.000000 37144.000000 0.549214 1.026134 0.563567 1.053910 0.578822 1.082821 0.594700 1.113062 0.611309 1.145501 0.629125 1.178875 0.647455 1.214968 0.667277 1.252749 0.688027 1.295073 0.711272
123 Saudi Arabia 399.000000 74795.000000 0.533458 1.030802 0.549890 1.066048 0.568692 1.104491 0.589199 1.149331 0.613120 1.195859 0.637941 1.249624 0.666622 1.304299 0.695789 1.366069 0.728741 1.437923 0.767072
124 Oman 37.000000 7770.000000 0.476190 1.000000 0.476190 1.070690 0.509853 1.143656 0.544598 1.219780 0.580848 1.285785 0.612279 1.370129 0.652442 1.444506 0.687860 1.498265 0.713459 1.545039 0.735733
125 Ghana 32.000000 6808.000000 0.470035 1.018704 0.478827 1.028865 0.483603 1.049645 0.493370 1.085979 0.510448 1.085979 0.510448 1.116798 0.524934 1.187097 0.557977 1.187097 0.557977 1.187097 0.557977
126 Uzbekistan 13.000000 3189.000000 0.407651 1.007901 0.410872 1.023756 0.417335 1.053170 0.429326 1.075911 0.438596 1.085063 0.442327 1.116988 0.455342 1.142601 0.465783 1.158373 0.472212 1.164719 0.474799
127 Kazakhstan 35.000000 8969.000000 0.390233 1.051342 0.410268 1.132592 0.441975 1.132592 0.441975 1.239840 0.483826 1.286985 0.502224 1.328544 0.518442 1.328544 0.518442 1.456716 0.568459 1.533162 0.598291
128 Madagascar 2.000000 542.000000 0.369004 1.028463 0.379507 1.110656 0.409836 1.209821 0.446429 1.338272 0.493827 1.460916 0.539084 1.662577 0.613497 1.683230 0.621118 1.782895 0.657895 1.915194 0.706714
129 Maldives 4.000000 1395.000000 0.286738 1.017505 0.291758 1.062452 0.304646 1.094976 0.313972 1.147204 0.328947 1.176223 0.337268 1.220472 0.349956 1.261302 0.361664 1.275137 0.365631 1.294063 0.371058
130 Central African Republic 1.000000 652.000000 0.153374 1.079470 0.165563 1.181159 0.181159 1.361169 0.208768 1.495413 0.229358 1.559809 0.239234 1.781421 0.273224 1.993884 0.305810 1.993884 0.305810 1.993884 0.305810
131 Bahrain 14.000000 9171.000000 0.152655 1.003611 0.153206 1.041922 0.159055 1.089969 0.166389 1.121972 0.171275 1.162652 0.177485 1.217605 0.185874 1.276587 0.194878 1.318430 0.201265 1.359271 0.207500
132 Singapore 23.000000 31960.000000 0.071965 1.010881 0.072748 1.028711 0.074031 1.050417 0.075593 1.072052 0.077150 1.088408 0.078327 1.109953 0.079878 1.127615 0.081149 1.139882 0.082032 1.168299 0.084077
133 Qatar 26.000000 45465.000000 0.057187 1.040056 0.059478 1.077038 0.061592 1.123119 0.064228 1.176296 0.067269 1.225571 0.070087 1.276892 0.073021 1.338426 0.076540 1.394461 0.079745 1.467939 0.083947
134 nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan nan